Human-Level AI

Why the Definition Keeps Moving

Give Yourself a Chance

Why Most People Quit Right Before It Gets Interesting

Forecasting 101 for Busy Leaders

A Simple ‘Base Rates + Trend + Constraint’ Method

Progress Isn’t Linear

What People Get Wrong About Technology Curves

What Should Count as ‘Human-Level’—Task Mastery, Adaptability, or Agency?

The Hidden Dependency of AI Progress: Energy, Chips, and Time

Robotics Reality Check

Why Software-Style Scaling Is Hard in the Physical World

AI Literacy for Executives

12 Questions to Ask Before Saying ‘We’ll Use AI’

Kodak Didn’t Fail at Innovation—It Failed at Transition

The Disruption Early-Warning System

Metrics That Tell You You’re Becoming Kodak

A Better World Can Still Feel Worse

The Paradox of Modern Life

Scarcity Mindset to Abundance Thinking (and Where It Breaks)